We’re less than a week from the mid-term elections. Here are my predictions.
Massachusetts elections and ballot measures
Massachusetts Governor:
Patrick (D): 48
Baker (R): 43
Cahill (I): 5
The kerfuffle with the defecting Cahill staffers hurts Baker’s messaging and Patrick wins pretty easily.
Massachusetts House – 10th District:
Keating (D): 52
Perry (R): 47
Perry is not able to overcome the historical Dem nature of the district. The fact that he lied about one of his underling cops sexually assaulting a young girl right in front of him won’t help either.
Massachusetts House – 4th District:
Frank (D): 56
Bielat (R): 42
The “Barney Frank is a dancing queen” ad won’t win the race for Bielat.
Question #1 – Eliminate the alcohol tax:
No: 52
Yes: 48
Question #2 – Housing development issue
No: 55
Yes: 45
Question #3 – Sales tax reduction
Yes: 50.4
No: 49.6
And with Question 3 passing Jeff is forced to forego a vacation this spring and instead sock away money for fear of losing his job as the state budget is gutted and his state funded employer threatens layoffs. Vote no on Question 3 folks!
National Picture
The final tally in the Senate will be 51 Dems, 48 GOP and 1 I (good old Socialist Bernie Sanders)
The house will be 230 GOP, 205 Dem
Alaska Senate:
Miller (R): 37
Murkowski (Write In): 31
McAdams (D): 24
Murkowski will almost pull off her write in campaign.
Arkansas Senate:
Boozman (R): 55
Lincoln (D): 43
California Senate:
Boxer (D): 52
Fiorina (R): 47
Colorado Senate:
Bennett (D): 51
Buck (R): 49
Connecticut Senate:
Blumenthal (D): 52
McMahon (R): 46
Delaware Senate:
Coons (D): 58
O’Donnell (R): 40
Sorry to see you go Christine – you were fun while you lasted.
Illinois Senate:
Giannoulias (D): 50.3
Kirk (R): 49.5
The mob banker squeaks one out.
Kentucky Senate:
Paul (R): 51
Conway (D): 49
Rand Paul in the Senate. Seriously – it’s gonna happen.
Missourri Senate:
Blunt (R): 53
Carnahan (D): 46
Nevada Senate:
Reid (D): 52
Angle (R): 47
Incredible – Harry Reid has more lives than a cat!
New Hampshire Senate:
Ayotte (R): 53
Hodes (D): 46
Pennsylvania Senate:
Toomey (R): 51
Sestak (D): 49
West Virginia Senate:
Manchin (D): 52
Raese (R): 48
Manchin replaces Blanche Lincoln as the ultimate Democrat in name only in the Senate.
Wisconsin Senate:
Johnson (R): 50.5
Feingold (D): 49.2
Bad year for Feingold to be up for re-election.
Governorships
California Governor:
Brown (D): 53
Whitman (R): 46
$150 million cannot buy you an election in CA it seems.
